Too Progressive

Considering the source I have my doubts, but if it’s true tonight could be a very interesting night.  According to ABC News exit polls Clinton is carrying the white vote 60-40 while Obama is carrying the black vote 92-8.  At the same time Clinton is carrying the female vote 55-44 and Obama is carrying the male vote 53-47.  In addition more than six in 10 Pennsylvania voters decided on their candidate more than a month ago.

Despite all the down-to-the-wire campaigning, preliminary exit poll results indicate that nearly eight in 10 Pennsylvania voters made up their minds at least a week ago, and six in 10 decided on their candidate more than a month ago — a higher number of early deciders than the norm in Democratic primaries to date.

As far as campaigning, many discern a negative tone — and more blame it on Sen. Hillary Clinton, D-N.Y., than on Barack Obama, D-Ill. Two-thirds of Pennsylvania voters in preliminary exit poll results say Clinton attacked Obama unfairly; fewer, but still about half, also say Obama unfairly attacked Clinton.

In other primaries to date, similarly, more saw Clinton than Obama as having attacked unfairly. The difference in Pennsylvania, these preliminary results suggest, is that voters there are more critical of both candidates.

Clinton will likely win tonight but as long as Obama doesn’t lose by any more than 10 points it’s a victory for him considering Clinton was 20+ points ahead just a couple of weeks ago.

Posted on April 22nd, 2008